MTSAT ENHANCED-IR Satellite Image

Upper Level WV/IR - West Pacific - Latest Available - Large Scale

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu

Lower Level IR - West Pacific - Latest Available - Large Scale

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu

Other Models

TROPICAL STORM "BOPHA" (International Name)

Distance from PAR:3,198 km (ESE) closer to Mindanao, PH

3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK:

Tropical Storm Bopha is expected to turn westward for the next 24 hours...with a slightly faster forward speed through the next 48 to 72 hours (Thursday & Friday). On the forecast track, the core of Bopha is expected to pass well to the south of Chuuk Islands on Wednesday evening...and should continue towards Central Micronesia and the Caroline Islands thru Friday afternoon.

Bopha is expected to intensify throughout the forecast period...and could become a Typhoon on Thursday.

The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Turns westward...continues to intensify while moving across Central Micronesia...about 250 km south-southeast of Chuuk Islands [5PM NOV 28: 5.3N 152.6E @ 95kph].

THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Upgraded to a Typhoon as it continues to traverse Central Micronesia...about 435 km west-southwest of Chuuk Islands [5PM NOV 29: 5.6N 148.3E @ 120kph].

FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Continues to gain strength while moving towards Western Micronesia and the Caroline Islands...about 809 km south-southwest of Guam, CNMI [5PM NOV 30: 6.2N 143.7E @ 150kph]. .

src:http://www.nueca.net/typhoon2001

Model No. 1.(src:Japan Meteorological Agency)

Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N4°30'(4.5°)
E154°55'(154.9°)
Direction and speed of movement W Slowly
Central pressure 998hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 20m/s(40kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30m/s(60kt)
Area of 30kt winds or more ALL280km(150NM)

Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N4°50'(4.8°)
E151°50'(151.8°)
Direction and speed of movement W 15km/h(8kt)
Central pressure 990hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 23m/s(45kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(65kt)
Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM)

Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N5°05'(5.1°)
E149°05'(149.1°)
Direction and speed of movement W 15km/h(8kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(55kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40m/s(80kt)
Radius of probability circle 200km(110NM)
Storm warning area ALL280km(150NM)

Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N5°35'(5.6°)
E144°50'(144.8°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 975hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(60kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45m/s(85kt)
Radius of probability circle 300km(160NM)
Storm warning area ALL390km(210NM)

Model No. 2.

CMC - CANADIAN METEOROLOGICAL CENTER
UKX - UNITED KINGDOM METEOROLOGY
NGX - US NAVY NOGAPS MODEL
GFSO - GLOBAL FORECASTING SYSTEM
src:http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov